Spider-Man Crushes Five Newcomers at Box Office, Including Hathaway’s ‘End of Oak Street’
Spider-Man: Brand New Day" is projected to earn $65–70 million in its third weekend, leading the box office over newcomers like "The End of Oak Street," which…
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Aug 13, 2026
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4 min readFive new nationwide releases, including Warner Bros.’ sci-fi survival thriller “The End of Oak Street” starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor, will try and fail to dethrone Sony and Marvel’s “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” at the domestic box office this weekend.
Tom Holland’s web-slinging sequel is projected to earn another $65 million to $70 million in its third frame, a roughly 55% decline that still leaves it untouchable against a crowded field of newcomers.
“The End of Oak Street” leads the pack of fresh releases with a projected debut of $20 million to $30 million from 3,400 theaters.
Warner Bros. has offered an internal estimate of $18 million to $23 million domestically and $20 million to $25 million overseas.
The PG-13 film, directed and written by David Robert Mitchell and produced by J.J. Abrams through Bad Robot, carries a net production budget of $80 million.
“Oak Street” Awareness Problem
“Oak Street” has a serious awareness problem, even with strong critical endorsement.
The film debuted on Rotten Tomatoes at 85 percent, higher than every “Jurassic” sequel, giving its case for legs its first real proof.
But unaided awareness for the film is running behind Warner Bros.’ other PG-13 monster movies “The Meg” and “Rampage.”
“The Meg” opened to $45.4 million in August 2018, while “Rampage” debuted to $35.7 million a few months earlier that same year.
Even at the top of its projection range, “Oak Street” would open roughly 45 percent below “The Meg” and 30 percent below “Rampage.”
Interest in the film has consistently run ahead of awareness, most recently at 44 percent interest against 32 percent awareness, with Hathaway registering as a strong first choice among women.
Screen Competition Hurdles
The screen situation compounds the challenge.
“Oak Street” will get premium large-format auditoriums, but it won’t have IMAX.
Those screens are spoken for by “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and “The Odyssey.”
Warner Bros. is positioning the film as the last big PG-13 swing of the summer before kids head back to school, and positive word-of-mouth will be crucial to ensure that “Oak Street” remains a draw through August.
“Spider-Man” is already the highest-grossing movie of 2026 with $671 million domestically and $1.68 billion globally after just 12 days on the big screen.
It is on pace to cross $2 billion worldwide at near-record speed, which would make it Hollywood’s first $2 billion blockbuster since 2022’s “Avatar: The Way of Water.”
Only seven films have ever surpassed that benchmark during their theatrical runs, including “Avatar,” “Avengers: Endgame” and “Titanic.”
Hathaway’s Summer Dominance
“Oak Street” is the third big movie this summer to star Hathaway, who also leads “The Odyssey” and “The Devil Wears Prada 2.”
Her year of box office dominance will continue with October’s thriller “Verity.”
Mitchell’s film follows a suburban family transported to prehistoric times after a mysterious cosmic event, a high-concept hook that mirrors another primeval adventure of sorts also opening this weekend: Paramount’s animated sequel “PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie.”
“PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie” is aiming for $20 million from 3,500 North American theaters, similar to 2023’s “The Mighty Movie,” which opened to $22 million and eventually climbed to $205 million globally.
“The Dino Movie” carries a $40 million price tag, split between Paramount and Spin Master, and has already generated $27.5 million internationally after launching last weekend.
Two other releases round out the weekend: Black Bear’s crime thriller “The Rivals of Amziah King” starring Matthew McConaughey, Neon’s stoner comedy “The Wrong Girls” led by Kristen Stewart, and Angel Studios’ historical drama “The Brink of War.”
None are expected to crack the top three.
For “Oak Street,” the question isn’t whether it can catch Spider-Man.
It’s whether positive reviews and a PG-13 family audience can carry a dinosaur thriller through August without IMAX screens or blockbuster-level awareness.
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